Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.029911 0.032268 0.034736 0.037515 0.040561 0.043803 0.047519
2024-12-15 0.026092 0.029464 0.033189 0.037624 0.042779 0.048603 0.055712
2024-12-22 0.023107 0.026986 0.031446 0.036983 0.043714 0.051681 0.061901
2024-12-29 0.021039 0.025243 0.030235 0.036649 0.044739 0.054696 0.068019
2025-01-05 0.019379 0.023782 0.029156 0.036263 0.045518 0.057300 0.073662
2025-01-12 0.017809 0.022277 0.027858 0.035426 0.045555 0.058838 0.077897
2025-01-19 0.016966 0.021614 0.027547 0.035789 0.047119 0.062413 0.085082
2025-01-26 0.016074 0.020810 0.026977 0.035729 0.048053 0.065132 0.091212
2025-02-02 0.015473 0.020343 0.026805 0.036170 0.049669 0.068866 0.099055
2025-02-09 0.014659 0.019534 0.026108 0.035809 0.050085 0.070858 0.104395
2025-02-16 0.013991 0.018882 0.025582 0.035641 0.050743 0.073209 0.110426
2025-02-23 0.013345 0.018222 0.025001 0.035345 0.051166 0.075199 0.115997
2025-03-02 0.012868 0.017785 0.024720 0.035484 0.052268 0.078330 0.123730
2025-03-09 0.012248 0.017109 0.024056 0.035001 0.052366 0.079867 0.128908
2025-03-16 0.011610 0.016376 0.023270 0.034280 0.052031 0.080659 0.132836
2025-03-23 0.011123 0.015843 0.022754 0.033945 0.052281 0.082411 0.138574
2025-03-30 0.010666 0.015332 0.022244 0.033585 0.052459 0.084034 0.144184
2025-04-06 0.010139 0.014694 0.021508 0.032819 0.051904 0.084346 0.147361
2025-04-13 0.009911 0.014501 0.021451 0.033151 0.053218 0.087992 0.157150
2025-04-20 0.009606 0.014177 0.021172 0.033095 0.053853 0.090459 0.164853
2025-04-27 0.009422 0.014033 0.021170 0.033498 0.055307 0.094499 0.176038
2025-05-04 0.009090 0.013640 0.020750 0.033168 0.055431 0.096073 0.182313
2025-05-11 0.008814 0.013326 0.020444 0.033016 0.055859 0.098239 0.190009